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Decumulation Studio
Joint Roth conversion and withdrawal-sequencing optimizer under bracket, IRMAA, ACA, LTCG, NIIT, RMD, and Roth 5-year-clock constraints.
Open Decumulation Studio →What It Does
The Decumulation Studio searches a joint schedule of Roth conversions and account-by-account withdrawals against a user-selected objective (fill a bracket, stay below an IRMAA tier, maximize real terminal wealth, maximize lifetime ACA premium tax credits, or minimize lifetime tax present value). It evaluates the proposed schedule alongside a baseline (no-conversion, naive sequencing) so the tradeoff is explicit.
Features
- Joint conversion and withdrawal schedule by year and account.
- Pluggable objectives covering bracket fill, IRMAA ceiling, ACA credit maximization, lifetime tax PV, and real terminal wealth.
- Per-year multi-cliff explainer: which constraint set bound the optimizer in each year.
- Marginal-cost surface that quantifies how much each extra dollar of conversion or withdrawal would cost across years.
- Year-drill decomposition showing the ordinary marginal, NIIT, LTCG bump, ACA, IRMAA, and state-tax components of the marginal dollar.
When To Use It
- Evaluate decumulation strategies after retirement when conversions and withdrawals interact with Social Security taxation, Medicare IRMAA, ACA subsidy cliffs, RMDs, and Roth 5-year clocks.
- Compare withdrawal orderings (taxable-first, traditional-first, Roth-last) under the same household, return, and inflation assumptions.
- Stress-test a planned schedule against bracket and IRMAA caps and see which years approach which cliffs.
Open the Decumulation Studio
Pick a household, set the plan horizon and spending, choose an objective, and inspect the proposed schedule alongside a no-conversion baseline.
Pro workflow
Main Inputs
- Plan anchor: start year and horizon years. Every dated rule (RMD, IRMAA y-2 lookback, ACA regime) resolves from the start year.
- Household: the selected household supplies members, accounts, filing status, resident state, ACA inputs, and prior IRMAA MAGI history.
- Assumptions: nominal asset return, inflation rate, and real annual spending.
- Objective: bracket fill, IRMAA tier ceiling, lifetime ACA premium tax credit, lifetime tax present value, or real terminal wealth.
- Withdrawal policy: taxable-first, traditional-first, or Roth-last sequencing.
- Constraint caps: ordinary bracket cap, optional IRMAA tier ceiling, optional LTCG 0% preservation, and optional NIIT prevention.
How To Interpret Results
- Action schedule: conversion and withdrawal amounts by year and account.
- Binding-constraint rows: the cliff or cap that bound each year for the proposed schedule and the baseline.
- Marginal surface: dollar-by-dollar cost of additional conversion or withdrawal pressure across the horizon.
- Year drill: ordinary marginal, LTCG bump, NIIT delta, IRMAA delta (y+2), ACA delta, and state marginal for a chosen year.
Known Scope
- Saved analyses for this tool are private-only. Generic public share links are not registered for Decumulation Studio runs.
- ACA FPL modeling supports contiguous states/DC, Alaska, and Hawaii poverty-guideline tables.
- The optimizer is a bracket-fill heuristic plus a marginal-cost search. It is not a stochastic or globally optimal solver.
Cliff Vocabulary
Glossary
- MAGI (Modified Adjusted Gross Income)
- AGI with certain items added back. Each cliff uses its own MAGI definition: NIIT, IRMAA, and ACA subsidies are computed on different bases, so one conversion can sit at different distances from each cliff.
- IRMAA y-2 lookback
- Medicare premium surcharges in a given year are set by your MAGI from two years earlier. A conversion this year raises premiums two years from now, which is why results show IRMAA deltas at y+2.
- ACA Premium Tax Credit (PTC)
- The subsidy that lowers marketplace health-insurance premiums, based on household income relative to the federal poverty level. Conversions raise income and can shrink or eliminate the credit.
- FPL (Federal Poverty Level)
- The income benchmark, scaled by household size, that ACA thresholds are expressed against (for example 400% of FPL).
- SLCSP (Second-Lowest-Cost Silver Plan)
- The benchmark marketplace plan premium used to compute the ACA credit. The planners need its premium to value subsidy loss in dollars.
- Roth 5-year clock
- Each conversion starts a five-year waiting period before that amount can be withdrawn penalty-free (before age 59 1/2). The planners track a clock per conversion year.