3-Fund Portfolio Backtest

Historical backtest of the Bogleheads three-fund portfolio: 40% US stocks (VTI), 20% international stocks (VXUS), 40% US bonds (BND), rebalanced annually.

Backtest window: 2011-01-28 to 2026-06-05. Results as of 2026-06-05.

Assumptions

Results

Portfolio CAGR Max drawdown Volatility Sharpe Sortino Calmar
Three-Fund 40/20/40 (VTI/VXUS/BND) 7.8% -22.4% 10.3% 0.64 0.89 0.35

Growth of $10,000

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Historical simulation computed by the ArthaPilot backtest engine with total-return (dividends reinvested) prices and annual rebalancing, before taxes and fees. Past performance does not predict future results. This page is educational and is not investment, tax, or legal advice.